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Ford expects 2015 pretax profit to set record, says '16 may be even better


jpd80

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Didn't Fields just say that growing revenues and profits are Fords priorities ahead of worrying about boosting the price.

 

More to the question, why is GM continuing to spend cash reserves to buy back stock?

What possible reason is there to do that at this time?

 

Shareholders in the US generally prefer stock buybacks instead of dividends.

 

US capital gains tax rate is very low compare to income tax rates. On a total return basis, investors holding GM stock would pay less taxes (and thus have higher effective return on investment) if GM stock price goes up (which the buy back will help accomplish) vs. higher dividend (which is subject to income tax rates).

Edited by bzcat
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There is a couple of reasons Ford stock took a beating:

 

1. All stock took a beating. In case you haven't noticed... all sectors are down since the beginning of the year. Large cap, mid cap, small cap, international etc.

2. Ford's growth is mostly happening in China (like every other car company) and China's economy is showing signs of recession.

3. The US market is driving Ford's profit margin but the US market appears to be peaking... hard to imagine sales continue at the pace it did at 2015 without someone opening the incentives spigot.

4. Despite the $4.5 billion investment in EV, Ford hasn't offered any clear indication of how it will enter the market. Other car companies have offered more compelling narratives and outlined product initiatives. Ford is being very quiet on what new EV or PHEV it will bring to market. It's probably deliberate but the perception is that Ford is now lagging behind after it raced ahead with Fusion and C-Max PHEV.

5. No good news in South America and Russia, two regions that Ford had previously counted on delivering some profits.

 

Thanks for the insight-sounds like a few people were partially correct in their perspective.

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See the bolded part. You said they were not investing in new products, but here you state that they ARE spending the money! And how do you know what the investment does or does not replace?

 

You invest in companies that have a plan, telling me that you are spending money, isn't the same thing as spending money towards a goal or a target.

 

that signals that you have direction of where You want to be, and the investment is what will take you there.

 

Ford hasn't provided IMO concrete targets or strategy that captures the mind of investors, or allows investors to judge how well they are executing.

 

example could be Long product cycles Are usually a sign of weakness not of strength, unless this is part of a larger plan, This looks like Ford is sacrificng investment in new Products to make their profits larger.

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Why on Earth would Ford broadcast their long term plans to the competition? If that makes their stock take a hit, so what?

 

Compare Ford's new powertrains, new vehicles, new platforms, new technology with Toyota and tell me who is resting on their laurels?

 

Just because Ford isn't publicizing investment in what YOU think they should be doing that doesn't mean they're not investing in the future.

 

Ridiculous.

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Why on Earth would Ford broadcast their long term plans to the competition? If that makes their stock take a hit, so what?

 

Compare Ford's new powertrains, new vehicles, new platforms, new technology with Toyota and tell me who is resting on their laurels?

 

Just because Ford isn't publicizing investment in what YOU think they should be doing that doesn't mean they're not investing in the future.

 

Ridiculous.

 

We will have to agree to Disagree.

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You invest in companies that have a plan, telling me that you are spending money, isn't the same thing as spending money towards a goal or a target.

 

that signals that you have direction of where You want to be, and the investment is what will take you there.

 

Ford hasn't provided IMO concrete targets or strategy that captures the mind of investors, or allows investors to judge how well they are executing.

 

example could be Long product cycles Are usually a sign of weakness not of strength, unless this is part of a larger plan, This looks like Ford is sacrificng investment in new Products to make their profits larger.

 

So, what do you want Ford to do? Say, "Hey, we are spending $4.5B to attain a goal of having a car that can travel 250 miles on electric, recharge in 35 minutes, and produce it's own fuel at the same time." Seriously, you are likely one of the few that thinks Ford is just spending that kind of money just for the sake of spending money and not spending to reach a goal. Just because they don't tell you the goal or target doesn't mean they don't have one. Some things are better kept internal, regardless of stock price.

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Ford hasn't provided IMO concrete targets

 

If stock prices moved as logically as you seem to think they do, almost anyone could make a fortune by investing in the stock market.

 

The market is, and has always been, incredibly unpredictable. Therefore your prescriptions for improving Ford's share price are nothing more than guesses based on your own singular interpretation of the market.

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Ford hasn't provided IMO concrete targets or strategy that captures the mind of investors Speculators, or allows investors Speculators to judge how well they are executing.

Change Investors to short term speculators and I agree with everything you just said.

 

The stock price fluctuations we see buying and selling are mostly those people moving in

or taking their profits by either selling long or short..

Edited by jpd80
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Another problem with Ford stock is that it is a family owned business. Companies with this kind of separate restricted stock setup tend to under perform the market (quite significantly) because investors understand that ultimately, the controlling shareholders can dictate the direction of the company's business.

 

Institutional investors buy Ford stock primarily for the dividend yield because the growth prospect (of the share value) is quite limited as long as the Ford company owns an outsized controlling share while the public only participates in the relatively worthless common stock.

Edited by bzcat
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Change Investors to short term speculators and I agree with everything you just said.

 

The stock price fluctuations we see buying and selling are mostly those people moving in

or taking their profits by either selling long or short..

all investing is speculatuion on the company's future performance, isn't it?

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all investing is speculatuion on the company's future performance, isn't it?

 

 

In most cases, yes, but not always. I’ve owned Ford stock longer than some people on this list have been alive. I have bought and sold Ford stock, always at a profit, but have a “core” amount of Ford stock that I’ll never sell. I just like the company.

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In most cases, yes, but not always. I’ve owned Ford stock longer than some people on this list have been alive. I have bought and sold Ford stock, always at a profit, but have a “core” amount of Ford stock that I’ll never sell. I just like the company.

 

your behavior isn't recommended for most investors.

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Your forgetting dividends. Depending on how much stock you owe, the amount of dividends you get can be substantial.

 

Exactly! It's not all about stock price. When you're in it for the long haul (as I am), the dividends can mean as much, if not more, than the stock price. If you don't sell your stock, you don't even notice the drop in price. On paper, sure, but not in hard dollars if you hold on to it. Unless, of course, the company goes bankrupt, which is why I think Ford is a safe bet. The family has too much stake in the company to let it go bankrupt.

 

I'm hoping to build up enough Ford stock that the dividends will pay my health insurance when I retire. Tax free, of course, since it's in my ROTH. :)

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Your forgetting dividends. Depending on how much stock you owe, the amount of dividends you get can be substantial.

 

 

 

Exactly! It's not all about stock price. When you're in it for the long haul (as I am), the dividends can mean as much, if not more, than the stock price. If you don't sell your stock, you don't even notice the drop in price. On paper, sure, but not in hard dollars if you hold on to it. Unless, of course, the company goes bankrupt, which is why I think Ford is a safe bet. The family has too much stake in the company to let it go bankrupt.

 

I'm hoping to build up enough Ford stock that the dividends will pay my health insurance when I retire. Tax free, of course, since it's in my ROTH. :)

 

Soo.....stock price no longer matters, I'll have to remember that.

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Soo.....stock price no longer matters, I'll have to remember that.

 

I gather you’re unfamiliar with investing.

Of course stock price is important, but don’t discount dividends. Ford issues dividends regularly, which comes from their profits. Ford pays me a dividend every three months no matter if their stock price is trading high or low.

 

And believe me, they can add up. Each year I’m amazed how much money I make on dividends.

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